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Is the bond market going to strong arm the Fed into a 50bp cut?
Markets are now pricing an above 50% probability (well above) for a 50bp FOMC rate cut on Wednesday. Consider:1. Is the FOMC going to think that if they don't cut…
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USD/JPY seems vulnerable near YTD low, around mid-140.00s ahead of Fed/BoJ meetings this week
USD/JPY languishes near the YTD low amid the divergent Fed-BoJ policy expectations. Bears might refrain from placing fresh bets ahead of this week’s central bank event risks. The Fed will…
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China August: Retail sales +2.1% y/y (expected +2.5) Industrial production +4.5% y/y (4.8)
China retail sales, industrial output, investment data for August 2024 - another round of disappointing results. Retail Sales +2.1% (YoY) (Aug) expected 2.5%, prior 2.7%Industrial Production +4.5% (YoY) (Aug) expected…
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Boeing slides as workforce strikes for first time in 16 years
33,000 Boeing workers walk off the job on Friday. Workers want a 40% increase in pay over four years. Wall Street trades higher as Bill Dudley calls for 50 bps…